HC Wainwright Has Pessimistic View of BigBear.ai Q3 Earnings

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) – HC Wainwright reduced their Q3 2025 earnings estimates for shares of BigBear.ai in a research report issued to clients and investors on Tuesday, August 12th. HC Wainwright analyst S. Buck now forecasts that the company will post earnings per share of ($0.07) for the quarter, down from their previous forecast of ($0.05). HC Wainwright currently has a “Buy” rating and a $8.00 target price on the stock. The consensus estimate for BigBear.ai’s current full-year earnings is ($0.28) per share. HC Wainwright also issued estimates for BigBear.ai’s Q4 2025 earnings at ($0.06) EPS, FY2025 earnings at ($0.94) EPS and FY2026 earnings at ($0.22) EPS.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) last released its earnings results on Monday, August 11th. The company reported ($0.06) earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of ($0.07) by $0.01. BigBear.ai had a negative net margin of 269.28% and a negative return on equity of 48.11%. The company had revenue of $32.47 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $41.18 million. During the same quarter in the previous year, the company earned ($0.06) EPS. BigBear.ai’s revenue for the quarter was down 18.3% on a year-over-year basis.

BigBear.ai Stock Up 5.3%

BBAI opened at $6.15 on Thursday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, a quick ratio of 1.66 and a current ratio of 1.91. BigBear.ai has a fifty-two week low of $1.24 and a fifty-two week high of $10.36. The firm’s fifty day moving average is $6.23 and its 200 day moving average is $4.89. The stock has a market cap of $1.79 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -4.27 and a beta of 3.44.

Insider Buying and Selling at BigBear.ai

In related news, CFO Julie Peffer sold 50,000 shares of BigBear.ai stock in a transaction on Tuesday, May 27th. The shares were sold at an average price of $4.40, for a total transaction of $220,000.00. Following the transaction, the chief financial officer owned 634,153 shares in the company, valued at approximately $2,790,273.20. The trade was a 7.31% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through this link. Company insiders own 1.10% of the company’s stock.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Large investors have recently modified their holdings of the company. AE Industrial Partners LP bought a new stake in BigBear.ai in the 4th quarter valued at $284,721,000. Vanguard Group Inc. increased its holdings in BigBear.ai by 9.2% in the 1st quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 6,325,571 shares of the company’s stock valued at $18,091,000 after acquiring an additional 534,963 shares during the last quarter. Jump Financial LLC bought a new stake in BigBear.ai in the 2nd quarter valued at $37,407,000. Geode Capital Management LLC increased its holdings in BigBear.ai by 125.2% in the 2nd quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC now owns 5,074,311 shares of the company’s stock valued at $34,456,000 after acquiring an additional 2,820,698 shares during the last quarter. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased its holdings in BigBear.ai by 3,252.7% in the 2nd quarter. JPMorgan Chase & Co. now owns 2,398,419 shares of the company’s stock valued at $16,285,000 after acquiring an additional 2,326,883 shares during the last quarter. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 7.55% of the company’s stock.

BigBear.ai Company Profile

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions. It offers national security, supply chain management, and digital identity and biometrics solutions. The company also provides data ingestion, data enrichment, data processing, artificial intelligence, machine learning, predictive analytics, and predictive visualization solutions and services.