Q3 Earnings Forecast for Alcoa Issued By B. Riley (NYSE:AA)

Alcoa (NYSE:AA) – Analysts at B. Riley dropped their Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for shares of Alcoa in a research note issued to investors on Tuesday, July 15th. B. Riley analyst N. Giles now anticipates that the industrial products company will post earnings of $0.25 per share for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $0.65. B. Riley has a “Buy” rating and a $37.00 price target on the stock. The consensus estimate for Alcoa’s current full-year earnings is $4.43 per share. B. Riley also issued estimates for Alcoa’s FY2025 earnings at $3.31 EPS, FY2026 earnings at $2.56 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $2.29 EPS.

Alcoa (NYSE:AA) last released its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, July 16th. The industrial products company reported $0.39 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.29 by $0.10. Alcoa had a return on equity of 19.27% and a net margin of 7.86%. The business had revenue of $3.02 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $2.96 billion. During the same quarter in the previous year, the firm posted $0.16 EPS. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 3.9% compared to the same quarter last year.

Other research analysts have also issued research reports about the company. Morgan Stanley reduced their price target on Alcoa from $40.00 to $38.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a research report on Friday. UBS Group reiterated a “neutral” rating and set a $31.00 price target on shares of Alcoa in a research report on Thursday, May 15th. Barclays boosted their price target on Alcoa to $31.00 and gave the stock a “hold” rating in a research report on Friday, May 16th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. reduced their price target on Alcoa from $28.00 to $27.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a research report on Thursday. Finally, Bank of America boosted their price target on Alcoa from $26.00 to $27.00 and gave the stock an “underperform” rating in a research report on Thursday. One research analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, six have issued a hold rating and seven have issued a buy rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock has an average rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $41.23.

Alcoa Trading Up 3.1%

NYSE:AA opened at $30.29 on Thursday. Alcoa has a 12-month low of $21.53 and a 12-month high of $47.77. The firm has a market capitalization of $7.84 billion, a P/E ratio of 7.91, a P/E/G ratio of 0.18 and a beta of 2.25. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, a current ratio of 1.65 and a quick ratio of 1.00. The business has a 50 day simple moving average of $28.94 and a 200 day simple moving average of $30.87.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of the company. Vanguard Group Inc. grew its holdings in Alcoa by 0.6% during the fourth quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 25,979,129 shares of the industrial products company’s stock worth $981,491,000 after acquiring an additional 165,420 shares during the period. Norges Bank purchased a new position in Alcoa in the 4th quarter worth about $259,273,000. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP increased its stake in Alcoa by 33.9% in the 1st quarter. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP now owns 6,803,086 shares of the industrial products company’s stock worth $207,490,000 after purchasing an additional 1,721,222 shares in the last quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC increased its stake in Alcoa by 0.9% in the 4th quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC now owns 4,232,766 shares of the industrial products company’s stock worth $159,966,000 after purchasing an additional 39,022 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Northern Trust Corp increased its stake in Alcoa by 46.8% in the 4th quarter. Northern Trust Corp now owns 2,549,608 shares of the industrial products company’s stock worth $96,324,000 after purchasing an additional 813,214 shares in the last quarter.

Alcoa Dividend Announcement

The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Friday, June 6th. Investors of record on Tuesday, May 20th were issued a dividend of $0.10 per share. This represents a $0.40 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 1.32%. The ex-dividend date was Tuesday, May 20th. Alcoa’s payout ratio is currently 10.44%.

About Alcoa

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Alumina and Aluminum. It engages in bauxite mining operations; and processes bauxite into alumina and sells it to customers who process it into industrial chemical products, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses.